Estimate Your 10-Year Cardiovascular Risk
Enter your values below to estimate your 10-year risk of developing cardiovascular disease (heart attack, stroke, heart failure, or related conditions).
Model range: Adults ages 30–74. This tool provides an estimate, not a diagnosis.
What this calculator does
This 10-year cardiovascular disease (CVD) calculator estimates your probability of having a cardiovascular event in the next decade. It combines common clinical risk factors: age, sex, cholesterol levels, blood pressure, smoking status, diabetes, and blood pressure treatment.
Risk calculators are useful for prevention planning. They can help you and your healthcare professional decide whether lifestyle changes alone may be enough or whether medication may also be appropriate.
How to interpret your result
- Low risk: less than 10%
- Moderate risk: 10% to 20%
- High risk: above 20%
Your risk percentage is an estimate based on population data. Individual circumstances, family history, kidney disease, inflammatory conditions, and other factors may raise or lower your true risk.
Inputs explained
Age
Age is one of the strongest drivers of cardiovascular risk. Even with healthy habits, risk tends to rise over time.
Total cholesterol and HDL cholesterol
Total cholesterol reflects all cholesterol fractions. HDL cholesterol is often called “good cholesterol,” because higher values are generally associated with lower cardiovascular risk.
Systolic blood pressure
Systolic pressure (the top number) is the force in your arteries when the heart contracts. Higher values increase strain on blood vessels and the heart.
Smoking status
Current smoking significantly increases risk of heart attack, stroke, and vascular disease. Quitting smoking can reduce risk substantially over time.
Diabetes
Diabetes accelerates atherosclerosis and raises cardiovascular risk. Tight glucose control and comprehensive risk-factor management can improve outcomes.
How the estimate is calculated
This page uses a Framingham-style 10-year general CVD risk equation with sex-specific coefficients and logarithmic transformations of key variables. The result is presented as a percentage probability over 10 years.
While this type of model is widely used, no risk equation is perfect. Different guidelines may use alternative models (such as pooled cohort equations) for certain populations.
Ways to reduce your 10-year cardiovascular risk
- Stop smoking and avoid secondhand smoke exposure.
- Improve blood pressure through sodium reduction, activity, weight management, and medication when prescribed.
- Optimize lipids with nutrition, exercise, and statin therapy when indicated.
- Prioritize regular physical activity (for most adults, at least 150 minutes/week of moderate activity).
- Follow a cardioprotective eating pattern (e.g., Mediterranean-style or DASH-style diet).
- Improve sleep quality and manage chronic stress.
- Maintain consistent follow-up with your clinician for personalized treatment decisions.
Important notes and limitations
- This calculator is for educational use and screening support.
- It does not replace medical evaluation, testing, or diagnosis.
- Risk may be underestimated or overestimated for certain ethnic groups or clinical conditions.
- If you have chest pain, shortness of breath, or neurological symptoms, seek urgent medical care.
Bottom line
Knowing your estimated 10-year CVD risk is a practical first step toward prevention. Use the result as a conversation starter with your healthcare provider and build a plan that fits your goals, labs, and overall health profile.